GL
GAN Ltd (GAN)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 delivered a clear inflection to profitability: revenue rose 24% year over year to $37.1M, net income was $2.1M (vs. $(8.2)M prior year), and Adjusted EBITDA reached $5.4M, driven by >60% B2B growth and lower operating costs .
- Mix shift and execution drove improvement: B2B revenue increased to $16.4M on Nevada expansion and revenue recognition tied to a Michigan partner exit; operating expenses fell to $25.1M (down ~10% YoY) from ongoing cost actions .
- Consumer trends were mixed: Europe improved on higher player activity, offset by weaker LatAm activity and FX headwinds; B2C active customers declined with limited acquisition in LatAm; B2C sports margin improved sequentially to 7.2% .
- No earnings call and no numerical guidance; strategic focus remains on the pending SEGASAMMY transaction, now expected to close in early 2025 (previously “late 2024 or early 2025”)—a likely stock narrative catalyst in the near term .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
-
What Went Well
- B2B momentum and mix: B2B revenue rose to $16.4M (from $10.2M), aided by Nevada expansion and a Michigan partner exit; B2B take rate lifted to 2.7% with segment contribution margin at 86.1% .
- Cost discipline: Operating expenses fell to $25.1M (from $27.8M), reflecting headcount reductions and lower D&A from fully amortized intangibles .
- Profitability inflection: Net income was $2.1M vs. $(8.2)M prior year; Adjusted EBITDA improved to $5.4M from $(2.5)M .
- Management tone: “Top-line growth of 24% ... driven by B2B revenue growth of more than 60% while operating costs fell by nearly 10%” (CEO Seamus McGill) .
-
What Went Wrong
- LatAm softness and FX: B2C growth in Europe was offset by reduced LatAm player activity and unfavorable exchange rates; B2C active customers declined .
- No call/no guidance: Company did not host an earnings call due to the pending merger; no numerical financial guidance was provided, limiting visibility .
- Sequential mix headwind in B2C: B2C revenue was $20.7M vs. $22.6M in Q2 (though up vs. Q1), reflecting LatAm softness despite sports margin improvement .
Financial Results
Quarterly snapshot (oldest → newest)
Segment breakdown (revenue)
Segment contribution and margin
Geographic revenue mix
Key KPIs
Q3 2024 YoY comparison
Notes: Q3 drivers included Nevada B2B expansion and Michigan partner exit revenue; B2C saw Europe strength offset by LatAm weakness and FX .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: GAN did not host Q2 or Q3 earnings calls due to merger process . Themes reflect management commentary from releases.
Management Commentary
- “Top-line growth of 24% compared to the prior year was driven by B2B revenue growth of more than 60% while operating costs fell by nearly 10%... We remain focused on delivering a leading product offering for our US B2B clients and our international B2C business.” — CEO Seamus McGill .
- “We… received approval from the Nevada Gaming Commission for our planned merger with SEGASAMMY… anticipate a successful closing in early 2025.” — CEO Seamus McGill .
- Prior quarter tone: “We achieved top-line revenue growth in the second quarter while reducing our operating expenses… focus on improved profitability.” — CEO Seamus McGill (Q2) .
- Q1 setup: “Strong B2B revenue growth… reduced operating expenses by 20%… B2C revenues impacted by lower sports margin.” — CEO Seamus McGill .
Q&A Highlights
- GAN did not host Q3 or Q2 earnings calls due to the pending merger, so there were no analyst Q&A exchanges or on-call guidance clarifications .
- Q1 included a call per the 8-K, but a transcript is not available here; no Q&A specifics can be documented from source materials .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2024 revenue/EPS was unavailable in our system for GAN (SPGI mapping error), so we cannot assess beat/miss versus consensus at this time. We attempted to retrieve Q1–Q3 2024 estimates but the S&P Global mapping for GAN was not available through the tool.
- Given the unavailability, we anchor on company-reported results only for comparisons; estimate revisions may follow given the profitability inflection (net income and Adjusted EBITDA positive) .
- If estimates become accessible, we would compare $37.1M revenue and $0.04 diluted EPS to consensus and quantify the spread (unavailable via tool).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- B2B-led mix shift is moving the P&L: Nevada expansion and one-time Michigan exit attribution supported B2B growth and a higher take rate (2.7%), lifting contribution margin to 86.1% .
- Cost structure reset is sticking: OpEx at $25.1M (down ~10% YoY) sustained the profitability turn, with Adjusted EBITDA climbing to $5.4M and net income of $2.1M .
- B2C still mixed: Europe remains constructive; LatAm weaker with FX pressure; sports margin normalized to 7.2% (between Q1 low and Q2 high) .
- Near-term catalyst is the SEGASAMMY closing—now guided to early 2025—along with any regulatory milestones; the absence of calls and formal guidance keeps the merger path as the primary narrative driver .
- Sequential momentum: revenue and operating income improved from Q1 to Q3; watch sustainability of B2B uplift versus one-time items and the cadence of new B2B launches .
- Liquidity steady: cash was $36.5M at Q3 end (vs. $36.9M at Q2), supporting operational continuity into the merger close window .
- Trading setup: absent consensus comparisons, the focus is on continued B2B execution, margin resilience, and confirmed regulatory approvals; any delay/change to the merger timeline could be the principal swing factor .
Additional Detail: Drivers and Disclosures
- B2B revenue acceleration: explicitly tied to Nevada expansion and Michigan partner exit recognition in both Q2 and Q3 .
- B2C trends: Europe higher player activity; LatAm reduced activity and adverse FX; active customers down due to limited LatAm acquisition .
- Non-GAAP: Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation provided; key add-backs include interest, taxes, D&A, share-based comp, and transaction costs .
- No numeric financial guidance provided; no Q3 call; forward-looking statements emphasize regulatory approvals and profitability trends .
Sources: Q3 2024 press release and 8-K (Item 2.02, Exhibit 99.1), Q2 2024 press release and 8-K, Q1 2024 8-K; Nevada Gaming Commission merger approval press release. All figures and quotes are cited above.