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GL

GAN Ltd (GAN)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 delivered a clear inflection to profitability: revenue rose 24% year over year to $37.1M, net income was $2.1M (vs. $(8.2)M prior year), and Adjusted EBITDA reached $5.4M, driven by >60% B2B growth and lower operating costs .
  • Mix shift and execution drove improvement: B2B revenue increased to $16.4M on Nevada expansion and revenue recognition tied to a Michigan partner exit; operating expenses fell to $25.1M (down ~10% YoY) from ongoing cost actions .
  • Consumer trends were mixed: Europe improved on higher player activity, offset by weaker LatAm activity and FX headwinds; B2C active customers declined with limited acquisition in LatAm; B2C sports margin improved sequentially to 7.2% .
  • No earnings call and no numerical guidance; strategic focus remains on the pending SEGASAMMY transaction, now expected to close in early 2025 (previously “late 2024 or early 2025”)—a likely stock narrative catalyst in the near term .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • B2B momentum and mix: B2B revenue rose to $16.4M (from $10.2M), aided by Nevada expansion and a Michigan partner exit; B2B take rate lifted to 2.7% with segment contribution margin at 86.1% .
    • Cost discipline: Operating expenses fell to $25.1M (from $27.8M), reflecting headcount reductions and lower D&A from fully amortized intangibles .
    • Profitability inflection: Net income was $2.1M vs. $(8.2)M prior year; Adjusted EBITDA improved to $5.4M from $(2.5)M .
    • Management tone: “Top-line growth of 24% ... driven by B2B revenue growth of more than 60% while operating costs fell by nearly 10%” (CEO Seamus McGill) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • LatAm softness and FX: B2C growth in Europe was offset by reduced LatAm player activity and unfavorable exchange rates; B2C active customers declined .
    • No call/no guidance: Company did not host an earnings call due to the pending merger; no numerical financial guidance was provided, limiting visibility .
    • Sequential mix headwind in B2C: B2C revenue was $20.7M vs. $22.6M in Q2 (though up vs. Q1), reflecting LatAm softness despite sports margin improvement .

Financial Results

Quarterly snapshot (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Total Revenue ($M)$30.651 $35.560 $37.098
Operating Expenses ($M)$24.6 $25.1 $25.1
Operating Income (Loss) ($M)$(3.303) $0.229 $2.132
Net Income (Loss) ($M)$(4.160) $(1.731) $2.083
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.09) basic; diluted same $(0.04) $0.04
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(0.569) $3.730 $5.412

Segment breakdown (revenue)

Segment Revenue ($M)Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
B2B$12.347 $12.990 $16.375
B2C$18.304 $22.570 $20.723
Total$30.651 $35.560 $37.098

Segment contribution and margin

Segment ContributionQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
B2B Contribution ($M)$10.266 $10.779 $14.097
B2B Contribution Margin (%)83.1% 83.0% 86.1%
B2C Contribution ($M)$11.062 $14.537 $13.081
B2C Contribution Margin (%)60.4% 64.4% 63.1%
Total Segment Contribution ($M)$21.328 $25.316 $27.178

Geographic revenue mix

Geography Revenue ($M)Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
United States$9.092 $10.454 $14.082
Europe$11.604 $14.120 $12.159
Latin America$6.896 $8.204 $8.356
Rest of World$3.059 $2.782 $2.501
Total$30.651 $35.560 $37.098

Key KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
B2B Gross Operator Revenue ($M)$632.0 $609.3 $610.4
B2B Take Rate (%)2.0% 2.1% 2.7%
B2C Active Customers (000s)222 237 226
B2C Marketing Spend Ratio (%)23% 23% 24%
B2C Sports Margin (%)5.7% 8.7% 7.2%
Cash ($M, period end)$36.6 $36.9 $36.5

Q3 2024 YoY comparison

MetricQ3 2023Q3 2024
Total Revenue ($M)$29.817 $37.098
B2B Revenue ($M)$10.178 $16.375
B2C Revenue ($M)$19.639 $20.723
Net Income (Loss) ($M)$(8.160) $2.083
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(2.522) $5.412
B2B GOR ($M)$424.1 $610.4
B2B Take Rate (%)2.4% 2.7%

Notes: Q3 drivers included Nevada B2B expansion and Michigan partner exit revenue; B2C saw Europe strength offset by LatAm weakness and FX .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Merger close timing (SEGASAMMY)Transaction timing“Late 2024 or early 2025” (Q2 release) “Early 2025” (Q3 release) Slightly deferred
Earnings call cadence2024Held a call in Q1 (per 8-K) No calls for Q2 and Q3 due to pending merger Suspended calls
Financial guidance2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: GAN did not host Q2 or Q3 earnings calls due to merger process . Themes reflect management commentary from releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1, Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Merger/regulatory approvalsQ1: shareholders approved; CFIUS filed; target late 2024/early 2025 . Q2: CFIUS cleared; timeline reiterated .Nevada Gaming Commission approval; anticipate early 2025 close .Progressing; timeline nudged to early 2025
Cost rationalizationQ1: OpEx down 20% YoY . Q2: OpEx $25.1M vs $32.8M .OpEx $25.1M vs $27.8M YoY .Sustained cost discipline
B2B geographic expansionQ1: Nevada expansion . Q2: Nevada expansion, Michigan exit revenue benefit .Continued Nevada expansion; Michigan partner exit revenue .Ongoing expansion; monetization uplift
B2C regional trendsQ1: LatAm weaker; sports margin 5.7% . Q2: Europe strong, LatAm weaker, margin 8.7% .Europe growth; LatAm soft; FX headwinds; margin 7.2% .Mixed; Europe stable, LatAm headwinds
Sportsbook marginQ1: 5.7% . Q2: 8.7% .7.2% .Above Q1; slightly below Q2
Product roadmapQ1: pre-built parlays & major tourneys highlighted .No new disclosures (no call) .Limited updates in Q3 release

Management Commentary

  • “Top-line growth of 24% compared to the prior year was driven by B2B revenue growth of more than 60% while operating costs fell by nearly 10%... We remain focused on delivering a leading product offering for our US B2B clients and our international B2C business.” — CEO Seamus McGill .
  • “We… received approval from the Nevada Gaming Commission for our planned merger with SEGASAMMY… anticipate a successful closing in early 2025.” — CEO Seamus McGill .
  • Prior quarter tone: “We achieved top-line revenue growth in the second quarter while reducing our operating expenses… focus on improved profitability.” — CEO Seamus McGill (Q2) .
  • Q1 setup: “Strong B2B revenue growth… reduced operating expenses by 20%… B2C revenues impacted by lower sports margin.” — CEO Seamus McGill .

Q&A Highlights

  • GAN did not host Q3 or Q2 earnings calls due to the pending merger, so there were no analyst Q&A exchanges or on-call guidance clarifications .
  • Q1 included a call per the 8-K, but a transcript is not available here; no Q&A specifics can be documented from source materials .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2024 revenue/EPS was unavailable in our system for GAN (SPGI mapping error), so we cannot assess beat/miss versus consensus at this time. We attempted to retrieve Q1–Q3 2024 estimates but the S&P Global mapping for GAN was not available through the tool.
  • Given the unavailability, we anchor on company-reported results only for comparisons; estimate revisions may follow given the profitability inflection (net income and Adjusted EBITDA positive) .
  • If estimates become accessible, we would compare $37.1M revenue and $0.04 diluted EPS to consensus and quantify the spread (unavailable via tool).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • B2B-led mix shift is moving the P&L: Nevada expansion and one-time Michigan exit attribution supported B2B growth and a higher take rate (2.7%), lifting contribution margin to 86.1% .
  • Cost structure reset is sticking: OpEx at $25.1M (down ~10% YoY) sustained the profitability turn, with Adjusted EBITDA climbing to $5.4M and net income of $2.1M .
  • B2C still mixed: Europe remains constructive; LatAm weaker with FX pressure; sports margin normalized to 7.2% (between Q1 low and Q2 high) .
  • Near-term catalyst is the SEGASAMMY closing—now guided to early 2025—along with any regulatory milestones; the absence of calls and formal guidance keeps the merger path as the primary narrative driver .
  • Sequential momentum: revenue and operating income improved from Q1 to Q3; watch sustainability of B2B uplift versus one-time items and the cadence of new B2B launches .
  • Liquidity steady: cash was $36.5M at Q3 end (vs. $36.9M at Q2), supporting operational continuity into the merger close window .
  • Trading setup: absent consensus comparisons, the focus is on continued B2B execution, margin resilience, and confirmed regulatory approvals; any delay/change to the merger timeline could be the principal swing factor .

Additional Detail: Drivers and Disclosures

  • B2B revenue acceleration: explicitly tied to Nevada expansion and Michigan partner exit recognition in both Q2 and Q3 .
  • B2C trends: Europe higher player activity; LatAm reduced activity and adverse FX; active customers down due to limited LatAm acquisition .
  • Non-GAAP: Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation provided; key add-backs include interest, taxes, D&A, share-based comp, and transaction costs .
  • No numeric financial guidance provided; no Q3 call; forward-looking statements emphasize regulatory approvals and profitability trends .

Sources: Q3 2024 press release and 8-K (Item 2.02, Exhibit 99.1), Q2 2024 press release and 8-K, Q1 2024 8-K; Nevada Gaming Commission merger approval press release. All figures and quotes are cited above.